Iran May Lose its Country Unless it Puts an End to Nuclear Enrichment: an Unprecedented Strategic Failure of the Biden Administration

Key points of this article:

  • Israel’s growing distrust of the U.S.
  • “Iran will be gone if it acquires nuclear weapons”
  • “Wars are likely to erupt under the U.S. Democratic Party”

“We don’t have months, we rather have weeks to have an agreement.”

This statement was made by Enrique Mora, EU Deputy Secretary-General and Political Director of the European External Action Service (EEAS).

Indirect talks between the U.S. and Iran toward the revival of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)(*) have been taking place since Dec. 17 in Vienna, Austria, after a series of suspensions. Several world powers of the Iran nuclear agreement are participating in these nuclear talks, including the United Kingdom, France, Germany, China, Russia and the EU.

There is growing concern that Iran’s nuclear development will scale up as these nuclear talks are lengthened, and time will only work in favor of Iran.

These negotiations may go through difficulties and be broken off. Iran has decided to restrict inspections of nuclear sites by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) in response to the U.S. withdrawal from the nuclear agreement and resumed sanctions against Iran.

Despite refusing inspections, the Iranian government has come to an agreement with the IAEA on installing new surveillance cameras at its nuclear facilities, showing a rather conciliatory stance. At the same time, the Iranian government insists that footage of these surveillance cameras will be deleted if U.S. sanctions are not lifted. Iran wants the U.S. to lift all sanctions on the condition that Iran accepts certain IAEA inspections.

Such superficial conciliation will not lead the U.S. to lift sanctions. If only it were that simple.

The Biden administration has begun to consider alternative options to revive the Iran nuclear deal. During a briefing on Dec. 9, White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki said, “Given the ongoing advances in Iran’s nuclear program, the President has asked his team to be prepared in the event that diplomacy fails and we must turn to other options.”

(*) In 2015, the Obama administration signed a nuclear deal to lift economic sanctions on Iran in return for placing strict limitations on Iran’s nuclear program. The Trump administration withdrew from the nuclear deal to leave room for Iran’s nuclear development, imposing maximum U.S. sanctions on Iran.


Israel’s Growing Distrust of the U.S.

One country that is wary of Iran’s nuclear program, its ongoing indirect talks, and the U.S. response is Israel. On Dec. 10, The New York Times published a detailed report on Israel’s distrust of the U.S. in an article entitled, “Iran’s Nuclear Program Ignites New Tension Between U.S. and Israel.”

The U.S.-Israeli disagreement over their respective outlooks on the JCPOA dates back to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who served before the current Prime Minister Naftali Bennett. The dichotomy seems to be escalating since Mr. Biden’s inauguration.

The phone call between Mr. Bennett and Secretary of State Antony Blinken in early December was said to have ended in mutual dissatisfaction. Mr. Bennett told Mr. Blinken that Iran was trying to blackmail the U.S. by increasing the enrichment percentage, according to the NYT article. Mr. Bennett argued that neither an American nor Israeli official wants to be the one to break the news that Iran has reached bomb-grade enrichment, but if it does happen, they should not surrender to Iranian demands or sign a reckless agreement.

Over the past year, Israeli sabotage operations have been taking place including the destruction of smaller Iranian nuclear facilities and a missile facility near Tehran. Even if a new nuclear deal is signed, Israel does not want limitations placed on its sabotage operations. In fact, the Israeli side believes that these sabotage operations are effective to some extent, forcing Iran to take the indirect talks seriously.

The Biden administration believes that Iran has not increased its nuclear enrichment since 2003. On the other hand, Israeli officials believe that Iran has continued a clandestine effort to develop a nuclear bomb since 2003. Israeli officials raise skepticism that the Biden administration and Iran will reach a new nuclear agreement by the back-channel communications.


Iran Will be ‘Wiped Out’ if it Acquires Nuclear Weapons

During the Trump administration, Iran was on the eve of a revolution due to the predicament of U.S. economic sanctions.

After Mr. Biden’s inauguration, however, the Iranian government has preyed on Mr. Biden and continued to produce uranium with an enrichment of up to 60%, not permitted by the nuclear agreement. It takes more than a year of enrichment to make a nuclear bomb under the low concentration of uranium specified by the agreement, but with a 60% enrichment, it is feasible to produce highly enriched uranium that is suitable for nuclear weapons.

Israel remains the only country in the Middle East to possess nuclear weapons. While this creates a sense of unfairness, the revival of the Iranian nuclear agreement is only postponing the issue at hand. It is only putting off the trigger for Iran’s nuclear armament. The nature of a nuclear bomb possessed by a totalitarian state like Iran is different from a nuclear bomb possessed by a democratic nation. If Iran acquires a nuclear weapon, it will lead to the destabilization of the entirety of the Middle East.

Furthermore, if the U.S. lifts sanctions on Iran after returning to a nuclear deal, Iran will resume support for terrorist groups with proceeds from oil exports.

As God Thoth, who guides the U.S., said during a spiritual message in April 2020, the U.S. must not lift sanctions without a “peace declaration” — that Iran “will not support terrorist activities nor fight with Israel.”

The next question arises: What happens if Iran gets a nuclear bomb? On Dec. 14, during the annual El Cantare Celebration, Happy Science CEO Master Ryuho Okawa said that a war partnered by the U.S. and Israel is dependent on Iran’s nuclear enrichment. Master Okawa sounded the following alarm:

“I say unto Iran, please stop making nuclear weapons. Please stop rushing. If you do, you will face the same fate as Iraq. It is coming close. So please stop. If both Israel and Iran acquire nuclear weapons, it is Israel that will survive. Iran will be gone. So, hear my words and do not proceed. Please westernize. Please implement democracy. That is your path to survival!”

Israel has a preventive national security strategy known as the Begin Doctrine, which calls for a preemptive attack to destroy an enemy country’s nuclear military capability if they try to acquire nuclear weapons.

Of course, the Begin Doctrine will not be carried out before Israel conducts sabotage operations such as cyber attacks on nuclear facilities or the assassination of nuclear physicists. The plan would not be easy to carry out without U.S. cooperation given the distance between Israel and Iran, as well as the dozens of Iranian nuclear facilities besides Natanz.

The Israeli side has already drawn a red line, however; they will not allow Iran to compile the amount of enriched uranium that is needed to produce a single nuclear bomb. In fact, Israel is looking for an offensive destruction plan even when nuclear weapons delivery has not been established. The Israeli Air Force has started training for air strikes on Iran.


War is ‘Likely to Erupt’ Under U.S. Democratic Party

A policy of appeasement undertaken by the U.S. Democratic Party could trigger a large-scale war. Master Okawa pointed out the following in his book, “Hou-tetsugaku-Nyumon (Japanese Edition)” (Translation: “Introduction to the Philosophy of Law”):

“U.S. administrations under the Democratic Party lean toward weak foreign diplomacy, oftentimes adopting policies of appeasement. The other side will become arrogant, and as a result of that, they tend to grow its military and start invading other countries. This often leads to war.”

The world has become fluid within a year of the rise of the Biden administration, and the “structures of the Cold War” are on the way to completion.

Moreover, Mr. Biden’s tone-deafness for foreign diplomacy and national defense has begun to invite three-front operations among China, Russia and Iran. This is an unprecedented strategic mistake. The Biden administration is facing the greatest challenge since the end of the Cold War.

Wars in the Middle East and Europe will give China a favorable opportunity to carry out hegemony and military expansion.

The Biden administration must reflect on the structures of the Cold War, caused by the “division” that they themselves have invited. Iran, on the other hand, must face the reality of its governmental failures and the Iranian people’s dissatisfaction, rather than focus on nuclear enrichment that could invite foreign attacks. Iran can become prosperous by fostering an industry that replaces crude oil. Lastly, the Iranian totalitarian system must go through a fundamental shift to a democracy that reflects the will of its people.

Iran May Lose its Country Unless it Puts an End to Nuclear Enrichment: an Unprecedented Strategic Failure of the Biden Administration
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